Real Madrid vs AC Milan: betting odds 5 Nov 2024

The match of the 4th round of the group stage of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League between Real Madrid (Spain) and AC Milan (Italy) will take place on November 5th at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.


Referee: Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)


Matches – 11 (International fixtures, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow/red cards shown – 40;

Average yellow/red cards per match – 3.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Fouls per match on average – 22;

Penalties – 0%.

Lineups for Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Real Madrid (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin – Ferland Mendy, Lucas Vazquez, Eder Militao, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric – Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

AC Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Emerson Royal, Malik Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Filippo Terracciano – Tidjany Reinders, Youssef Fofana – Samuel Chukwueze, Christian Pulisic, Noah Okafor – Alvaro Morata.

Real Madrid

The Spaniards delighted their fans in the last match, thrashing Borussia Dortmund with a score of 5:2. Although Real Madrid lost the first half (0:2), all five goals were scored after the 60th minute. This was the second home victory over a Bundesliga representative in the group stage (Stuttgart was defeated in the first round 3:1), and the only defeat came in an away match against Lille (0:1). So far, Real Madrid is only in 12th place in the league table.


Defenders David Alaba and Dani Carvajal will miss the match due to injuries.


  • The club has lost only once in regular time in their last 16 Champions League matches (11 wins and 4 draws).
  • Both teams scored in 7 out of 9 of Real's previous games in this tournament.
  • Real Madrid's unbeaten streak at Santiago Bernabeu in this European competition is 15 matches (12 wins and 3 draws).

AC Milan

Under Paulo Fonseca, AC Milan had a poor start to the group stage of the Champions League, losing in the first two rounds to Liverpool (1:3) and Bayer Leverkusen (0:1). The Milanese managed to break their losing streak in the last match – defeating Club Brugge at home (3:1). Before that, the team had not scored more than two goals in the Champions League over 14 encounters. This victory is only the third for Milan in their last 12 matches in this tournament (3 draws and 6 losses).


Defenders Matteo Gabbia and Alessandro Florenzi, midfielder Ismael Bennacer, and forward Luka Jovic will miss the game due to injuries.


  • Both teams scored in 5 out of the last 6 AC Milan's Champions League games.
  • At least three goals have been scored in 6 out of the last 7 matches involving the Italians in this competition.
  • The club failed to score in the second half in 6 out of the last 7 away matches in this tournament.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan: Prediction

In the new season, the Spaniards have suffered only two defeats at the official level, but both were extremely painful for Carlo Ancelotti's charges. The loss to Lille, which hardly counts as a serious opponent, revealed problems in the club's attack, and the crushing 0:4 defeat to Barcelona led to a 6-point gap from the Catalans in La Liga. Real Madrid needs to regain lost ground not only in the domestic league but also in the European competition, so the Spanish club will put maximum effort into the upcoming matches.


AC Milan so far has not been impressive either in their domestic league or in the Champions League. In Serie A, the team is outside the European competition spots, and in the Champions League, they have only gained points in the encounter with Brugge.


I am confident that the hosts will win the upcoming match. After all, Real Madrid always plays powerfully at home in the Champions League. And the Italians rarely win away in this tournament – in their last 14 matches, they have only three victories (4 draws and 7 losses).


Therefore, my prediction is a Real Madrid Victory.

Real Madrid — AC Milan betting tips 5 Nov 2024

The home game against AC Milan will be Real Madrid's first outing after a heavy defeat to Barcelona (0:4) and the Ballon d'Or ceremony, where Vinicius Júnior missed out on the top prize. Clearly, the Santiago Bernabeu stands will be rallying behind Real Madrid, for whom a win is crucial for morale.

In their last Champions League outing, Real Madrid stumbled in the first half against Borussia Dortmund but redeemed themselves after the break with five unanswered goals (5:2). The Madrid side registered an impressive 3.55 xG against Borussia Dortmund, with Vinicius Júnior netting a hat-trick. A key factor for team selection will be the return of Rodrygo Goes, as the Brazilian could bring stability to the attack, where Kylian Mbappé and Vinicius Júnior have lacked defensive contributions.

Before their victory over Club Brugge (3:1), AC Milan floundered defensively against Liverpool (1:3) and Bayer Leverkusen (0:1). Against these top-tier opponents, they conceded a total of 5.88 xGA — indicating significant defensive issues. Over the weekend, the Italian side narrowly edged past Monza (0:1), even though the Serie A underdogs posed a threat to Mike Maignan's goal with 1.13 xG and 12 shots.

At the Santiago Bernabeu, Real Madrid have scored eight goals over 180 minutes in the Champions League. The Madrid side are likely to score at least two goals against AC Milan, who aren’t prepared to withstand the reigning champions' offensive pressure. 

Betting prediction
Real Madrid Total Over 1.5
Cf
Odds
43/100
Bet now

Current season

Logo Real Madrid Logo AC Milan
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Lost 2
2.67 GF per game 1.33
1.33 GA per game 1.67
8 Corners per game 3.67
3.33 Yellow cards per game 3

Champions League: previous matches in the tournament

Real Madrid
22.10.24
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
W
02.10.24
Lille
Real Madrid
L
17.09.24
Real Madrid
Stuttgart
W
More matches
AC Milan
22.10.24
AC Milan
Brugge
W
01.10.24
Bayer 04
AC Milan
L
17.09.24
AC Milan
Liverpool
L
More matches

H2H: Real Madrid — AC Milan

Champions Cup 2015
30.07.15
Real Madrid
AC Milan
0
:
0
10
:
9
P

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Aston Villa
3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3
Manchester City
3 2 1 0 9:0 7
4
Monaco
3 2 1 0 9:4 7
5
Brest
3 2 1 0 7:2 7
6
Bayer 04
3 2 1 0 6:1 7
7
Inter Milan
3 2 1 0 5:0 7
8
Sporting CP
3 2 1 0 5:1 7
9
Arsenal
3 2 1 0 3:0 7
10
Barcelona
3 2 0 1 10:3 6
11
Borussia Dortmund
3 2 0 1 12:6 6
12
Real Madrid
3 2 0 1 8:4 6
13
Benfica
3 2 0 1 7:4 6
14
Juventus
3 2 0 1 6:4 6
15
Lille
3 2 0 1 4:3 6
16
Feyenoord
3 2 0 1 6:7 6
17
Atalanta
3 1 2 0 3:0 5
18
Stuttgart
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19
PSG
3 1 1 1 2:3 4
20
Celtic
3 1 1 1 6:8 4
21
Sparta Prague
3 1 1 1 4:6 4
22
Dinamo Zagreb
3 1 1 1 6:11 4
23
Bayern Munich
3 1 0 2 10:7 3
24
Girona
3 1 0 2 4:4 3
25
AC Milan
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
26
Brugge
3 1 0 2 2:6 3
27
Atlético Madrid
3 1 0 2 3:8 3
28
PSV
3 0 2 1 3:5 2
29
Bologna
3 0 1 2 0:4 1
30
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 0 1 2 0:4 1
31
RB Leipzig
3 0 0 3 3:6 0
32
Sturm Graz
3 0 0 3 1:5 0
33
Red Star Belgrade
3 0 0 3 2:11 0
34
Red Bull Salzburg
3 0 0 3 0:9 0
35
BSC Young Boys
3 0 0 3 0:9 0
36
Slovan Bratislava
3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Aston Villa
2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2
Monaco
2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3
Arsenal
2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4
Barcelona
2 2 0 0 9:1 6
5
Real Madrid
2 2 0 0 8:3 6
6
Manchester City
2 1 1 0 5:0 4
7
Brest
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8
PSG
2 1 1 0 2:1 4
9
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10
Bayer 04
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11
Inter Milan
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
12
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
13
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 7:1 3
14
Benfica
2 1 0 1 5:3 3
15
Juventus
2 1 0 1 3:2 3
16
Lille
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17
Celtic
1 1 0 0 5:1 3
18
Sparta Prague
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
19
Bayern Munich
1 1 0 0 9:2 3
20
Girona
2 1 0 1 4:3 3
21
AC Milan
2 1 0 1 4:4 3
22
Atlético Madrid
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
23
Atalanta
2 0 2 0 0:0 2
24
Stuttgart
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
25
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 2:2 1
26
PSV
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
27
Bologna
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
28
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
29
Brugge
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
30
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
31
RB Leipzig
2 0 0 2 2:4 0
32
Sturm Graz
2 0 0 2 0:3 0
33
Red Star Belgrade
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
34
Red Bull Salzburg
2 0 0 2 0:6 0
35
BSC Young Boys
2 0 0 2 0:4 0
36
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2
Feyenoord
2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3
Bayer 04
2 1 1 0 5:1 4
4
Inter Milan
2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5
Sporting CP
2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
7
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
8
Brest
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
9
Borussia Dortmund
2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10
Benfica
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11
Juventus
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12
Lille
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
13
Atalanta
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
14
Stuttgart
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
15
Dinamo Zagreb
2 1 0 1 4:9 3
16
Brugge
2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17
Monaco
1 0 1 0 2:2 1
18
Arsenal
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19
Celtic
2 0 1 1 1:7 1
20
Sparta Prague
2 0 1 1 1:6 1
21
PSV
2 0 1 1 2:4 1
22
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 0 1 1 0:1 1
23
Barcelona
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24
Real Madrid
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
25
PSG
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
26
Bayern Munich
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
27
Girona
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29
Atlético Madrid
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
30
Bologna
2 0 0 2 0:4 0
31
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
32
Sturm Graz
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
33
Red Star Belgrade
2 0 0 2 1:9 0
34
Red Bull Salzburg
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35
BSC Young Boys
1 0 0 1 0:5 0
36
Slovan Bratislava
2 0 0 2 1:7 0

Team lineups

The final team lineups will be announced a few hours before the match
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